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  • US PCE Inflation Data Threatens Bitcoin Crash to $70,000 Amid Mounting Market Volatility
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US PCE Inflation Data Threatens Bitcoin Crash to $70,000 Amid Mounting Market Volatility

Cal Evans 28 March 2025
Bitcoin Price chart in the background
  • Bitcoin faces uncertainty as it hovers around $85,837.93, with market sentiment turning bearish due to concerns over the upcoming US PCE inflation data, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy.
  • A favorable inflation report could drive a recovery, but a negative outcome may trigger a crash to $70,000, as warned by veteran trader Peter Brandt.

Bitcoin, the world’s leading cryptocurrency, finds itself under intense scrutiny as market uncertainties and inflation concerns cloud its trajectory. Currently trading at $85,837.93, Bitcoin has seen a 1.4% drop in the past 24 hours, with volume dipping by 2.4% to $25.8 billion. As traders brace for the upcoming US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data, fears of a potential crash loom large.

Bearish Signals Dominate the Market

Veteran trader Peter Brandt has cautioned that a steep decline to $70,000 is not far-fetched. His warning comes in response to an HTL-NL market analysis highlighting the possibility of Bitcoin slipping to $76,700 or even $70,000. The cryptocurrency’s sentiment is leaning bearish as Bitcoin Futures Open Interest fell by 1.5%, and selling pressure intensified.

The market’s uncertainty stems from fears that the upcoming US PCE inflation report could influence the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. If inflation exceeds expectations, the Fed may maintain or even tighten interest rates, potentially triggering a sell-off in risk assets like Bitcoin. However, a softer inflation reading could reignite bullish momentum.

Can Bitcoin Bounce Back?

While market sentiment remains cautious, some analysts are optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects. Javon Marks believes Bitcoin could rally to $116,600-$118,800, drawing parallels to its previous surge from $19,000 to $67,543. Michael van de Poppe echoes this sentiment, noting that any dips are being absorbed by the market.

Bitcoin Price Chart – Source: Tradingview

However, Bitcoin must reclaim the $90,000 resistance level to regain bullish momentum. Until then, uncertainty reigns. The US PCE inflation data will be pivotal in determining Bitcoin’s short-term future. A dovish stance from the Fed, prompted by lower-than-expected inflation, could set the stage for a strong recovery. Otherwise, the path to $70,000 remains a real possibility.

All Eyes on US PCE Inflation Data

The coming days will be crucial for Bitcoin’s trajectory. A favorable inflation report could restore confidence and push Bitcoin toward new highs. Conversely, an unfavorable outcome may send prices tumbling to $70,000 or lower. For now, traders are watching and waiting, with market sentiment hanging in the balance.

About the Author

Cal Evans

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