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  • Bitcoin Faces Potential Breakdown as Bulls Retreat and Bears Target $62,000
  • Analysis
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Bitcoin Faces Potential Breakdown as Bulls Retreat and Bears Target $62,000

Sean Williams 31 March 2025
bITCOIN ON TECH
  • Bitcoin’s price struggles to reclaim $90,000 amid market uncertainty, with analysts warning of a potential drop to the $62,000 support zone due to bearish sentiment, long-term holder inactivity, and macroeconomic concerns.
  • However, some experts remain optimistic, viewing 2025 as a foundational year for Bitcoin’s long-term growth despite short-term volatility.

Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price movements have left investors and traders on edge as the cryptocurrency struggles to regain bullish momentum. After a series of failed attempts to break the $90,000 mark, Bitcoin’s price has slipped, leaving market participants concerned about a potential breakdown toward the $62,000 support zone.

Bitcoin’s Struggle Amid Market Uncertainty

Bitcoin started the week with hopes of pushing past $90,000 but instead dropped 7% from a high of $88,060 on March 26 to $82,036 by March 29. This decline resulted in $158 million in long liquidations, highlighting market fragility. Meanwhile, gold surged to a record $3,087 on March 28, reinforcing its status as a safe-haven asset and questioning Bitcoin’s “digital gold” narrative.

BTC/USD 1-day price chart. Source: TradingView

Koroush AK, a well-known trader and researcher, observed that Bitcoin had formed its sixth lower high of 2025, describing the rally as a “dead cat bounce.” He emphasized that Bitcoin’s failure to close above $90,000 for five consecutive days signaled a lack of buying strength.

Long-Term Holders Stay on the Sidelines

On-chain data from CryptoQuant reveals that long-term Bitcoin holders have been inactive since November 2024, reflecting uncertainty and a cautious outlook. Market analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that a reactivation of these dormant wallets could indicate a significant trend reversal. Meanwhile, reduced exchange inflows suggest declining investor participation, which often precedes major price moves.

Bitcoin Long-term Holders. Source: Ali Martinez/X

Bearish Sentiment and Potential Downside Targets

Several analysts have warned of bearish scenarios. Altcoin Sherpa described Bitcoin’s current weekly chart structure as a confirmed bear market, with the price potentially dropping to the $50,000–$60,000 zone depending on macroeconomic conditions.

Similarly, Crypto Capo stated that a close below the $84,000–$85,000 range could trigger a plunge toward support levels from April and November 2024.

Source: CryptoCapo/X

Adding to selling pressure, Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) recorded $93 million in net outflows on March 28. Concerns about a recession and uncertainty around U.S. Federal Reserve rate cuts have driven caution among institutional investors.

Implied rates for Fed Funds on July 30. Source: CME FedWatch

A Glimmer of Hope for Bitcoin’s Future?

While the outlook appears bearish, some experts believe Bitcoin’s volatility is a reflection of its early-stage growth. Alexandre Vasarhelyi of B2V Crypto remains optimistic, stating that 2025 is a foundational year for Bitcoin, not a tipping point. He suggests that whether Bitcoin’s bottom is $77,000 or $65,000, long-term adoption remains the focus.

As Bitcoin struggles to regain strength, eyes remain on macroeconomic factors, long-term holder activity, and potential policy shifts. A significant change in sentiment or renewed buying from long-term holders could alter the current outlook and prevent a drop to $62,000.

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