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  • Stellar (XLM) Eyes $0.40 as Price Action Signals Possible Rally
  • Analysis
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Stellar (XLM) Eyes $0.40 as Price Action Signals Possible Rally

Cal Evans 10 September 2025
Stellar XLM Price
  • Stellar (XLM) has turned bullish on the SuperTrend, with whale orders, rising Open Interest, and long-heavy positions suggesting a potential breakout.
  • If XLM holds above key support levels, it could test resistance near $0.40.

Stellar (XLM) has recently flipped bullish on the SuperTrend indicator, suggesting the altcoin may be gearing up for a breakout. After weeks of sideways price action, buyers appear to be regaining control, potentially pushing XLM toward key resistance levels near $0.40.

Bullish SuperTrend Signals a Turning Point

For the first time since August 25, XLM’s SuperTrend turned positive, signaling a possible end to its consolidation phase. At press time, XLM traded around $0.375, showing minor daily losses. While this shift is promising, traders are waiting for additional confirmation from derivatives markets to validate a sustained rally.

STELLAR/ TETHER PRICE CHART FOR 4 HOURS PERIOD
Source: X/Ali Charts

Stellar Whale Activity Boosts Confidence

Large investors, or “whales,” are increasingly influencing XLM’s price action. Data from futures markets shows oversized whale orders dominating recent trading, suggesting accumulation and a willingness to hold long positions. This trend often guides both spot and futures markets, meaning retail traders are likely to follow cautiously, shaping overall market sentiment.

Stellar futures Average Order size chart
Source: CryptoQuant

Rising Open Interest Supports Upward Potential

Open Interest (OI) in XLM derivatives has surged 9.21% to $343.77 million, highlighting renewed speculative interest. Fresh contract openings indicate that traders anticipate further price gains, aligning with the bullish SuperTrend signal. However, higher OI also implies increased leverage, which could amplify volatility if liquidations occur.

XLM FUTURES OPEN INTREST ( USD)
Source: CoinGlass

Stellar Long Positions Dominate Market Sentiment

Binance’s Long/Short Ratio currently shows 59.04% of accounts holding long positions, compared to 40.96% short. This imbalance underscores broad optimism across retail and institutional participants. While the strong tilt toward longs supports a bullish outlook, it also raises the risk of sharp corrections if XLM fails to hold critical support levels.

BINANCE XLM /USDT LONG/SHORT ACCOUNTS
Source: CoinGlass

Is a Breakout to $0.40 Imminent?

Stellar’s combination of a bullish SuperTrend, whale-driven orders, rising OI, and long-heavy positioning paints a positive picture for XLM. If the altcoin maintains momentum above key support levels, a move toward $0.40 appears increasingly plausible. However, traders should monitor market signals closely, as high leverage and aggressive long positioning could introduce near-term volatility.

With market conditions appearing favorable, XLM is positioning itself for a potential breakout, offering an attractive opportunity for traders ready to navigate both upside potential and inherent risks.

ALSO READ:Pi Network Expands into Tokenized Asset Markets with Stellar Partnership

DISCLAIMER:
The views and opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of the publisher. The publisher does not endorse or guarantee the accuracy of any information presented in this article. Readers are encouraged to conduct further research and consult additional sources before making any decisions based on the content provided.

About the Author

Cal Evans

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