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  • Avalanche (AVAX) Reaches Oversold Zone as Market Fear Intensifies
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Avalanche (AVAX) Reaches Oversold Zone as Market Fear Intensifies

Sean Williams 25 February 2025
Avax Avalanche under black
  • Avalanche (AVAX) is facing intense selling pressure, with its price nearing the oversold zone and struggling to find support amid extreme market fear.
  • A key resistance at $23.60 could hinder recovery, and unless demand surges significantly, AVAX may continue its downward trend toward $17.52.

The cryptocurrency market is in turmoil, and Avalanche (AVAX) is no exception. With its price slipping into the oversold zone, investors are bracing for what could be an extended downturn. As market confidence dwindles, AVAX faces key resistance levels that could determine its next move.

AVAX Nears Critical Support Amid Market Panic

After testing the $34.40 resistance on February 1, AVAX has struggled to hold its ground. Selling pressure has been relentless, pushing the token closer to a multi-month low below $20. This downward movement aligns with the broader market sentiment, which has taken a sharp turn toward fear.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index, a key sentiment indicator, has dropped to 25, signaling extreme fear. Historically, this level presents two possibilities: a buying opportunity if demand surges or a continuation of the sell-off if bearish sentiment dominates. Currently, AVAX shows no signs of a recovery rally, suggesting the latter scenario may unfold.

Technical Indicators Suggest More Downside

From a technical perspective, AVAX’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is hovering near the oversold region. While this typically signals an impending rebound, another crucial indicator, the Bull Bear Power (BBP), remains negative. This suggests that bearish control over AVAX’s price is still strong, increasing the likelihood of further declines.

Moreover, on-chain data from IntoTheBlock highlights a key resistance zone at $23.60. Approximately 128,000 addresses acquired 3.31 million AVAX at this price and are currently sitting on unrealized losses. This could act as a sell wall, preventing AVAX from regaining upward momentum.

Potential Scenarios for AVAX’s Price Movement

  1. Bearish Outlook: If selling pressure continues and AVAX fails to reclaim $23.60, the token could drop further to around $17.52. Given the current market sentiment, this remains a strong possibility.
  2. Bullish Rebound: On the flip side, if demand for AVAX surges and the token breaks past the $23.60 resistance, it could reclaim the $30 level and potentially trade higher.

What’s Next for AVAX?

For now, Avalanche’s price remains under bearish control, with no clear signs of a reversal. While extreme fear can sometimes create buying opportunities, AVAX will need significant bullish momentum to overcome current resistance levels. Until then, investors should tread cautiously, keeping an eye on key technical indicators for potential shifts in market direction.

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