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Bitcoin Deribit Index Signals Caution as BTC Struggles Below $118K

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Bitcoin Deribit Index Hints at Short-Term Caution

Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, surged to a new all-time high of $124,533 on Thursday. However, the rally was short-lived as profit-taking and broader macroeconomic concerns triggered a market-wide pullback.

Also Read: Cboe Launches Bitcoin Index Futures to Simplify Crypto Investing

At press time, BTC is trading at $117,927, according to CoinGlass data, reflecting a cooling period after the recent surge. Analysts are now watching key technical indicators from the Bitcoin Deribit Index to assess the next potential price move.

$127K Resistance Could Be Pivotal for BTC

Using Bitcoin’s average entry price for new investors, along with standard deviation (σ) bands, the data suggests $127,000 marks the +1σ level — a major resistance point. A confirmed breakout above this level could open the path toward $144,000 (+2σ), where historical price peaks have seen increased selling pressure.

However, failing to breach $127K could mean an extended period of sideways trading or a potential retracement as short-term traders lock in profits.

Also Read: Bitcoin Price Tests $123K Resistance Ahead of Possible $130K Surge

SOPR Metric Signals Recovery

The Short-Term Holder Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) — a measure of whether newer investors are selling at a profit or loss — briefly dipped below neutral but quickly rebounded. It is now hovering around the $112,000 level, suggesting a partial restoration of market confidence after the pullback.

Historically, SOPR dips below neutral often indihttps://u.today/bitcoin-deribit-index-hints-caution-for-btc-price-detailscate market exhaustion, while recoveries point toward renewed buying interest.

Short-Term Outlook: Caution Still Prevails

While Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains bullish, the Deribit Index and SOPR data both suggest traders should exercise caution in the immediate term. The $127K resistance is now the key level to watch, with any decisive breakout potentially triggering a fresh wave of momentum toward $144K.

For now, short-term volatility remains elevated, and traders may prefer to wait for confirmation before making aggressive moves.

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