- Bitcoin remains below $100K as uncertainty over a US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) and macroeconomic factors impact its price, with Montana rejecting an SBR proposal due to fiscal conservatism.
- While resistance to a national SBR and strong economic data could push BTC toward $90K, easing trade tensions and a dovish Fed may drive it to new highs.
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hover below the crucial $100K mark as uncertainty looms over the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) in the US. The digital asset market remains on edge, with key economic factors influencing price trends in the coming days.
Montana Blocks SBR Proposal, But the Debate Continues
On February 22, Montana’s House of Representatives rejected House Bill No. 429, which would have allowed the state to invest in digital assets and precious metals. The move was driven by fiscal conservatism, with opponents labeling such investments as speculative and a risky use of taxpayer funds.
Bitcoin Laws, a watchdog group tracking digital asset legislation, noted that the bill’s failure was largely due to conservative lawmakers’ resistance to using General Fund money for what they saw as an uncertain venture. However, despite the setback, 32 US states have introduced similar legislation, indicating growing interest in state-level SBRs.
If a national SBR gains traction, it could significantly tilt the supply-demand balance in BTC’s favor, potentially driving prices to new record highs.
BTC Price Outlook: What’s Next?
After briefly touching $96,185, BTC saw a slight 0.41% decline on February 23, reversing the previous day’s 0.31% gain. The market remains cautious, with several factors expected to shape BTC’s short-term price movement.
Bearish Factors
- Rising US tariff threats
- Strong economic data that could push the Federal Reserve toward a more hawkish stance
- Continued government resistance to a national SBR
If these factors persist, BTC could see a retreat toward the $90K support level.
Bullish Factors
- Easing trade tensions
- Progress in SBR-related legislation
- A dovish stance from the Federal Reserve regarding interest rate policy
Should these elements align, Bitcoin may challenge its all-time high of $109,312 in the near future.
Technical Indicators Flash Caution
BTC’s daily indicators signal a bearish near-term trend, suggesting that traders should brace for potential volatility. The market will closely watch US economic data, Federal Reserve policy updates, and any further developments on state or national SBRs to determine BTC’s next big move.
For now, Bitcoin remains at a critical juncture, with its next direction hinging on how these macroeconomic and legislative factors unfold.
