- Pi Network’s built-in burn mechanisms, such as transaction fee removals and unverified account eliminations, help reduce supply but may not be enough to counteract the massive token unlocks, which are driving prices down.
- While Pi’s long-term success depends on increased adoption and sustained scarcity, the upcoming March 21 unlock of 23.4 million tokens could further pressure its value.
The Pi Network community is on high alert as over 23 million Pi tokens are set to be unlocked on March 21. With the token’s price already experiencing a sharp decline, many investors are questioning whether Pi’s built-in burn mechanisms can stabilize its value.
The Silent Burn: How Pi Reduces Supply
Unlike traditional cryptocurrencies that announce large-scale token burns, Pi Network has a subtler approach. The network permanently removes transaction fees from circulation, reducing the overall token supply. Moreover, Pi accounts that fail the Know Your Customer (KYC) verification process also see their tokens effectively removed from the ecosystem.
Data from early March indicates that around 528,671 PI tokens have already been burned. With an estimated daily burn rate between 3,000 to 4,000 tokens, this ongoing mechanism gradually reduces supply. However, the upcoming token unlocks far exceed these burn rates, raising concerns about their impact on price stability.
Token Unlocks and Their Impact on Price
The recent transition to Pi’s mainnet on February 20 introduced a supply shift. Pi tokens from accounts that missed the KYC deadline of December 30, 2024, were removed, bringing the total supply down to 6.99 billion. Despite this reduction, Pi’s price has been falling, currently trading at $1.15—a steep 23% decline in just a week.
One of the main drivers of this decline is the large-scale token unlocks. On March 17, 23.1 million PI was unlocked, worth approximately $26.56 million. Another 23.4 million PI, valued at $26.91 million, is set to enter the market on March 21. Such large releases often flood the market, increasing selling pressure and pushing prices downward.
Can Pi Recover? Key Levels to Watch
Despite the recent bearish trend, analysts believe Pi could see a reversal if key support levels hold. Chart analysis suggests that Pi needs to stay above the $1.05 support level to maintain bullish momentum. If it manages to break past the $1.37 resistance level, a price rally could be in sight. Another psychological support at $1.10 could also play a crucial role in preventing further declines.
Long-Term Outlook: Adoption and Supply Control
Pi’s long-term value depends on two main factors: real-world adoption and supply control. Encouragingly, Pi’s adoption is growing, especially in China, where some businesses now accept it as payment. If this trend continues, increased real-world use could drive demand and offset inflationary effects from token unlocks.
Meanwhile, if Pi Network continues its deflationary approach—burning transaction fees and removing inactive accounts—it could provide a much-needed supply balance. While the short-term outlook remains uncertain, Pi’s long-term success hinges on its ability to maintain scarcity while increasing utility in everyday transactions.
As March 21 approaches, investors will be closely watching how the market reacts to the latest token unlocks. Whether Pi will weather the storm or face further declines remains to be seen.
