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Solana Price Prediction as SOL Holds $60 Support While Bears Gain Control

SOLANA IMAGE ON BLACK BACKGROUND

Solana (SOL) has recovered after defending the crucial $60 support level. However, SOL remains under pressure as bearish sentiment continues to dominate technical indicators and derivatives markets. While institutional interest remains visible through spot ETF inflows, SOL still faces several hurdles before a sustained recovery can begin.

Solana (SOL) Price

Solana Rebounds From Critical $60 Support

The $60 price zone has emerged as a major support level for Solana. Buyers stepped in at this area, helping SOL rebound by more than 5% at its strongest point during the recent recovery.

At the time of writing, SOL is trading within the $64 to $69 range. Despite the bounce, the token remains below several key exponential moving averages (EMAs), suggesting that sellers still maintain control of the broader trend.

The recovery has also failed to generate strong bullish conviction, with traders remaining cautious about the coin’s near-term outlook.

Bearish Signals Continue to Dominate Market Sentiment

Data from derivatives markets points to growing pessimism among traders. Solana’s long-to-short ratio recently dropped to 0.94, indicating that short positions now outnumber long positions. A reading below 1.0 often reflects expectations of further downside movement.

Funding rates have also turned negative, reaching -0.0080%. This means traders holding short positions are paying long holders, a situation that generally appears when market participants expect prices to fall further.

These metrics suggest that confidence in a strong recovery remains limited despite SOL’s recent rebound from support.

Technical Analysis Shows Key Resistance Ahead

Technical analyst BATMAN recently noted that SOL remains trapped inside a large symmetrical wedge pattern. As price action moves closer to the wedge’s apex, the market may be approaching a decisive breakout or breakdown.

Adding to concerns, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator shows bearish divergence while SOL continues to trade below the 200-day EMA near $74. This setup often signals weakening buying strength.

Several resistance levels stand in the way of a larger recovery:

Source: TradingView

Meanwhile, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains around 46, below the neutral 50 level. This suggests buyers have yet to regain control.

Solana Records Longest Losing Streak in History

One of the most concerning developments for Solana is its monthly performance.

According to market analyst Ash Crypto, SOL has now posted eight consecutive monthly losses. This marks the longest losing streak since the token launched.

The monthly RSI has also fallen into deeper oversold territory than it did during the 2022 market collapse following FTX’s downfall. During that period, SOL dropped to roughly $8 before eventually recovering.

Although oversold conditions can sometimes signal a potential bottom, they do not guarantee an immediate reversal.

Institutional Interest Offers Hope for Recovery

Despite the bearish technical outlook, some positive signs continue to emerge.

Spot Solana ETFs attracted approximately $137,290 in net inflows on Tuesday. While the figure is relatively small, it highlights ongoing institutional interest in the asset.

Some analysts are also watching the $50 to $40 range as a potential long-term accumulation zone. If SOL establishes a strong base in this area, some projections suggest a recovery toward $175 could become possible over time.

Other long-term market observers believe Solana could eventually reclaim previous highs and potentially move above $300 if broader market conditions improve.

What Comes Next for Solana?

Solana remains at a critical crossroads. The successful defense of the $60 support level has prevented further immediate losses, but bearish sentiment continues to weigh on price action.

For bulls, reclaiming resistance levels between $74 and $83 will be essential to confirm a stronger recovery. On the downside, support around $62 to $63 remains crucial; a break below this area could open the door to another test of lower levels.

While institutional inflows provide some encouragement, traders will likely continue monitoring technical indicators and market sentiment closely as SOL attempts to regain strength in the weeks ahead.

ALSO READ: TRON Surpasses Ethereum and Solana With Nearly 4 Million Daily Active Addresses

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