
- Stellar XLM is testing key support at $0.38 amid mixed technical signals, with long-term bullish trends still intact despite short-term bearish pressure.
- Traders should watch for a confirmed bounce above $0.40 or a potential dip toward $0.33 in the coming days.
Stellar’s native token, XLM, has recently dropped to test a critical support level at $0.38. Despite this near-term weakness, the coin’s long-term bullish trend remains intact, leaving traders divided on its next move. Here’s a detailed look at the current technical landscape shaping XLM’s price action.

Stellar XLM Price Decline Reflects Broader Market Trends
The recent 2.47% drop in XLM price to $0.38 is not linked to any significant news or developments within Stellar’s ecosystem. Instead, the movement seems driven by general cryptocurrency market sentiment and technical factors. With moderate trading volume of about $44.9 million on Binance spot markets, the market is in a consolidation phase, prompting traders to focus on key support and resistance levels rather than fundamentals.
Mixed Technical Indicators Create Uncertainty
Stellar’s technical indicators paint a mixed picture:
- RSI at 46.32: Positioned in neutral territory, it signals neither overbought nor oversold conditions, suggesting potential movement in either direction.
- MACD Histogram at -0.0143: Shows bearish momentum, hinting at short-term downward pressure.
- Stochastic %K and %D near 6.4: These oversold readings hint at a possible bounce, but confirmation from price action is needed.
Meanwhile, XLM trades below its short-term moving averages—the 7-day SMA at $0.41 and 20-day SMA at $0.44—but stays above the critical 50-day ($0.33) and 200-day SMA ($0.31). This supports the longer-term bullish outlook despite current challenges.
Key Stellar Support and Resistance Levels
The $0.38 mark acts as immediate support, aligned with the lower Bollinger Band, making it a critical defense zone for bulls. On the upside, resistance lies at $0.52, with a potential target of $0.56 if XLM can break past this level.
Long-term holders find comfort in the robust support around $0.22, the 52-week low, which provides a strong downside buffer.
Should You Consider Buying XLM Now?
Risk-averse traders should wait for confirmation above $0.40, signaling that support is holding. This approach offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, targeting $0.44 resistance.
Aggressive investors might consider buying near $0.38 due to oversold technical signals, but should be cautious of potential dips to $0.33 if the 50-day SMA fails.
Conclusion: The Next 48 Hours Are Pivotal
XLM’s price action over the next couple of days will be decisive. Holding above $0.38 could trigger a rebound towards $0.44, while a break below may lead to deeper corrections. Traders should closely monitor broader market trends and volume, as Stellar-specific news remains absent. This mixed technical environment calls for cautious but alert trading strategies.
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