- XRP’s chances of reaching $3 have diminished as major holders offloaded 100 million tokens and market participation dropped sharply, with Open Interest falling from $3 billion to $1.3 billion.
- Technical indicators, including a head-and-shoulders pattern and declining MACD, suggest a potential drop to $1.60 or lower unless buying pressure returns.
The dream of XRP hitting the coveted $3 mark is rapidly slipping away as large holders offload millions in tokens, signaling a wave of selling pressure that could send the altcoin into deeper correction territory.
Whales Cash Out $200 Million in XRP
In a striking move over the past 24 hours, addresses holding over 1 billion XRP have reduced their collective stash by 100 million coins. This sudden sell-off—valued at roughly $200 million at current prices—has spooked the market. Historically, accumulation by these so-called whales has been followed by upward price momentum. This time, the reverse appears to be unfolding.
The number of XRP held by these major players dropped from 24.73 billion to 24.63 billion, highlighting a concerning trend: the biggest believers in the project are trimming their positions, likely anticipating further downside.
Market Participation Tanks as Open Interest Crumbles
Adding fuel to the bearish fire, Open Interest (OI) in XRP derivatives has plunged. Once soaring above $3 billion in January, it now stands at just $1.3 billion. This steep decline indicates that traders are either cashing out or choosing not to open new positions—both clear signs of weakening confidence.
A drop in OI often correlates with reduced trading activity and fading enthusiasm, which in turn drags prices down. If this trajectory continues, XRP could remain under intense selling pressure, unable to reclaim higher levels any time soon.
Technical Indicators Point Toward Deeper Correction
The XRP/USD chart doesn’t inspire optimism either. A head-and-shoulders pattern has formed—a classic bearish reversal signal. With the neckline positioned at $2.02, a decisive break below this level could drag XRP all the way down to $1.60, based on Fibonacci retracement analysis.
Adding to the gloomy outlook, the MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is flashing bearish signals, reinforcing the idea that momentum is shifting away from bulls.
Can XRP Bounce Back?
While the current outlook appears grim, a potential rebound isn’t completely off the table. If buying pressure increases and XRP manages to hold above the $2.02 neckline, it could reverse course and attempt a push toward $2.78—or even $3.
But for now, XRP holders should brace for further turbulence. The combination of whale sell-offs, dwindling open interest, and bearish technical patterns paints a sobering picture: XRP’s road to $3 just got a lot rockier.
