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  • Polkadot Struggles to Break $6 Barrier After ETF-Driven Rally
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Polkadot Struggles to Break $6 Barrier After ETF-Driven Rally

vivian 26 February 2025
Polkadot on green
  • Polkadot (DOT) recently surged by 12% following Grayscale’s ETF filing but remains trapped in a bearish descending triangle, facing strong resistance near $6.
  • Unless DOT breaks above key resistance levels, it risks falling below $4, though potential SEC approval of the ETF could drive prices higher.

Polkadot (DOT) recently surged by 12% following Grayscale’s application for an exchange-traded fund (ETF) on February 25. However, despite this rally, DOT faces significant resistance near $6, raising questions about the sustainability of its uptrend.

ETF Buzz Fails to Sustain DOT’s Momentum

Grayscale’s move to file a 19b-4 form with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) initially fueled excitement among investors. If approved, the ETF would allow investors to gain exposure to DOT without directly holding the cryptocurrency.

However, Polkadot’s price increase seems to be losing steam, as it remains trapped within a descending triangle pattern—a bearish signal suggesting possible downward movement. This formation, characterized by a declining upper trendline and horizontal support, indicates that DOT must break above resistance to sustain its rally.

Key Resistance Levels and Bearish Indicators

Despite bouncing off support at $4.41, DOT has yet to breach the upper trendline of the descending triangle. The cryptocurrency faces critical resistance levels near $6.31 and $7.44, and failure to surpass these points could trigger a decline.

A major technical indicator, the Supertrend, aligns with this bearish outlook. The Supertrend indicator currently displays a red segment above the price, signaling a downtrend. This pattern mirrors previous trends where DOT struggled before experiencing price declines. If the bearish setup holds, DOT’s price may drop below $4.

What’s Next for DOT?

If DOT can break above the upper trendline of the triangle pattern, an extended uptrend could push prices toward $8. Further optimism could emerge if the SEC acknowledges Grayscale’s ETF application, potentially leading to increased investor interest and a push above $10.

However, until DOT successfully breaches key resistance levels, traders should remain cautious. The current technical setup suggests that unless a strong bullish catalyst appears, DOT risks further declines in the near term.

Investors should closely monitor upcoming ETF developments and technical indicators to assess whether Polkadot will defy bearish patterns or succumb to selling pressure.

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