- Monero is forming a two-year parabolic trend that could drive an 80% price rise and new highs by mid-2026.
- Strong developer activity supports this outlook despite the broader crypto market remaining weak.
Analysts point out Monero’s long-term price structure that could support strong gains. Despite the current market downturn, Monero has followed a quieter but steadier path. This contrast has placed Monero back on the radar of long-term observers.
Analyst Kevin Svenson believes this setup could lead to a major rally. He argues that Monero has spent the past two years forming a parabolic trend that is now nearing critical levels. If the structure holds, the asset could push beyond previous records by mid-2026.
#BTC (vs) S&P500 (1-minute chart)
everyone is claiming "Manipulation!" today.
All I see is a minute to minute correlation with the U.S. stock market. #BTC is a slave to wall street now … Buy $XMR #Monero its near an ATH breakout. pic.twitter.com/XmUr9EV8Wk
— Kevin Svenson (@KevinSvenson_) December 17, 2025
A Quiet Two-Year Trend Takes Shape
According to Svenson, Monero has been building its current structure without drawing broad market attention. He notes that the price action resembles a long, rounded curve that often appears before extended rallies. This pattern is now approaching areas linked to past all-time highs.
Svenson suggests that technical signals support further upside. He believes the trend could carry Monero more than 80% higher from current levels. His projected timeline points toward July 2026 as a potential window for new highs.
#BTC (vs) S&P500 (1-minute chart)
everyone is claiming "Manipulation!" today.
All I see is a minute to minute correlation with the U.S. stock market. #BTC is a slave to wall street now … Buy $XMR #Monero its near an ATH breakout. pic.twitter.com/XmUr9EV8Wk
— Kevin Svenson (@KevinSvenson_) December 17, 2025
This outlook stands out in a market where many large assets remain range-bound. While other cryptocurrencies face mixed signals, Monero’s chart structure appears more constructive in comparison.
Developer Activity Supports the Long-Term Case
Beyond price charts, Monero continues to show strong activity behind the scenes. Data from analytics firm Santiment places Monero among the most active privacy projects on GitHub. Over the past 30 days, the network recorded seven notable development events.
This level of activity ranked Monero sixth among privacy-focused cryptocurrencies. Analysts often view consistent development as a sign of long-term commitment. Regular updates suggest the protocol remains a priority for its contributors.
For privacy coins, ongoing technical work is especially important. These networks rely on constant improvements to maintain security and resistance to surveillance. Monero’s continued development helps reinforce its position in this niche.
A Bullish View Without Broad Consensus
Despite Svenson’s optimism, his price target has not yet gained widespread support. Other analysts have not confirmed the same upside scenario. This leaves Monero’s outlook more speculative than consensus-driven.
Still, the combination of a long-term chart pattern and steady development offers a compelling narrative. If market conditions improve over time, Monero could benefit from its unique focus and disciplined growth.
For now, Monero remains a quiet outlier. Its next major move may depend on patience rather than hype.
ALSO READ:Best Ways to Exchange Monero for Bitcoin Securely and Privately
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