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  • Toncoin (TON) Struggles: Can It Hold the $5 Support Level?
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Toncoin (TON) Struggles: Can It Hold the $5 Support Level?

Cal Evans 2 years ago (Last updated: 2 years ago) 3 minutes read 0 comments
TON TONCOIN ANALYSIS IMAGE
  • Toncoin (TON) has experienced significant volatility, bouncing back from $5 support but struggling to maintain upward momentum.
  • The key level to watch is $5; if TON holds above it, a move towards $7 is possible, but a drop below could lead to further declines.

Toncoin (TON) has experienced significant price volatility, with fluctuations between key support and resistance levels. After peaking at an all-time high of $8.25 in June, TON has been navigating a corrective phase, raising questions about the sustainability of its current recovery.

Recent Price Movements

TON reached its peak of $8.25 on June 15, marking an 8.7% increase from its previous high on April 11. This surge, however, was short-lived, as TON faced a series of corrective declines. By August 5, the price had dropped to $4.70, matching its low from May 1. Finding support at this level, TON rebounded to $7.20 by August 14, only to encounter resistance and fall again.

Despite briefly bouncing off the $5 mark on August 26 and rising to $6 by August 28, TON’s price dipped below $5 on September 3, entering the final phase of an extended correction. A recovery commenced on September 6, with TON reaching $6.14 by September 28, but it soon returned to the $5 support level on October 9.

Technical Analysis and Patterns

The critical question now is whether TON’s recent recovery marks the beginning of a new bullish trend or is merely another corrective bounce before further declines. Since August 14, TON’s hourly chart has exhibited a five-wave downward pattern. The recovery up to August 28 appears to represent a corrective wave, with the subsequent decline completing this structure.

Notably, TON formed an inverted head-and-shoulders pattern after briefly falling below $5, suggesting a potential U-shaped bottom. A five-wave upward pattern emerged from September 6 to 14, indicating a possible impulsive move. This was followed by a retracement to $5 on October 10, which may represent an ABC correction, possibly the second sub-wave of an initial five-wave impulse to the upside.

Future Outlook

If TON maintains its position above the $5 support level and rebounds, it could signal the start of a bullish phase with a target of $7. However, a drop below $5 would invalidate this bullish scenario, indicating further declines below September levels.

TON Price Prediction

The key support level around $5 is crucial for TON’s future price action. A sustained recovery above this level could pave the way for a move towards $7, potentially signaling the start of a new bull phase. Conversely, failure to hold above $5 could lead to further declines, extending the corrective phase.

While Toncoin has shown resilience by bouncing back from $5, the uptrend lacks momentum. Traders should closely monitor the $5 support level, as it will play a pivotal role in determining TON’s next move.

About the Author

Cal Ivans Image

Cal Evans

Author

Cal Evans is a technology lawyer and blockchain governance specialist with extensive experience in Web3 regulation, digital assets, and decentralized infrastructure. He has worked closely with blockchain foundations and startups, advising on compliance, token frameworks, and global regulatory strategy.

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